Stagflation, the s-word rippling through Wall Street and Main Street, is a calamitous anomaly whereby the economy manifests low growth and high inflation at the same time. Anyone who remembers the 1970s will recall that it caused an economic crisis in the United States, ushering in a turbulent era of high prices, interest rates and unemployment — and considerable instability and pain. Stagflation unraveled two presidencies, Ford’s and Carter’s, and nearly destroyed Reagan’s.
Today, experts are worried that the new tariff regime, which is all but certain to raise prices, coupled with a tight labor market could return us to that era.
“The data is continuing to support the narrative of weaker growth and higher inflation, with market-based inflation expectations continuing to rise,” says Deutsche Bank.